Alaska Senate party winner?

    Mary Peltola (D) leads by 98 pts

    1. Mary Peltola (D)#199%
    2. Dan Sullivan#21%
    3. Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)#31%
    Resolves
    Jan 14, 2027
    Volume
    $13.8M
    24h
    $593.1K
    Liquidity
    $1.3M
    Candidates
    10
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictitPolymarket US4 venues · 13 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Mary Peltola (D)99%
    • Dan Sullivan1%
    • Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)1%
    • Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.1%
    • Gerald Heikes1%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    4 venues
    ChanceBest
    Mary Peltola (D)$6.5M vol99%—predictit99¢99¢ after fees
    Dan Sullivan$3.7M vol1%▼ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)$3.3M vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.$147.4K vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Gerald Heikes$147 vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Dustin Darden$36.4K vol<1%——
    David Leslie$3.5K vol<1%——
    Ann Diener$52.4K vol<1%——
    Richard Grayson$33.3K vol<1%——
    Sid Hill$7.3K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Daniel J. Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Alaska?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Alaska Senate Election Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Alaska?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, January 14, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictitPolymarket USCompared across 4 venues

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