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    Alaska Senate Election Winner

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

    Resolves Nov 4, 2026
    Total Volume

    $1.9M

    +$125.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    74¢

    Mary Peltola

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Sen. Dan Sullivan

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    174¢75¢74¢
    $1.0M+$39.4K 24h
    -1¢—
    226¢26¢0¢
    $231.7K+$7.1K 24h
    -1¢
    25¢
    323¢1¢26¢
    $521.4K+$78.8K 24h
    -1¢
    24¢ if
    41¢1¢—
    $100
    ——
    50¢—0¢
    $2.4K
    ——
    60¢—0¢
    $24.3K
    ——
    70¢0¢0¢
    $46.0K
    ——
    80¢0¢0¢
    $32.1K
    ——
    90¢0¢—
    $7.2K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Mary Peltola
    74%
    74¢-1¢
    2Dan Sullivan
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    3Sen. Dan Sullivan
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    4Ann Diener
    0¢—
    5Richard Grayson
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 4, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $1.9M

    Whale Activity

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