TRADING OPEN

    Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.7K

    +$39 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    32¢

    Peltola 3-6%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Sullivan 12+%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    132¢32¢
    $4.5K+$17 24h
    +1¢—
    231¢31¢
    $4.4K
    -1¢—
    319¢19¢
    $6.1K
    -1¢—
    413¢13¢
    $3.9K
    -2¢—
    58¢8¢
    $2.2K
    ——
    61¢1¢
    $468
    -2¢—
    71¢1¢
    $741
    -4¢—
    81¢1¢
    $566+$22 24h
    -5¢—
    91¢1¢
    $534
    -3¢—
    101¢1¢
    $324
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Peltola 3-6%
    32%
    32¢+1¢
    2Peltola 0-3%
    31%
    31¢-1¢
    3Sullivan 0-3%
    19%
    19¢-1¢
    4Sullivan 3-6%
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    5Peltola 6-9%
    8¢—
    6Peltola 9-12%
    1¢-2¢
    7Sullivan 9-12%
    1¢-4¢
    8Sullivan 12+%
    1¢-5¢
    9Sullivan 6-9%
    1¢-3¢
    10Peltola 12+%
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~13 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $23.7K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...