TRADING OPEN

    Alaska Senate election margin of victory

    Resolves Jun 2, 2027
    Total Volume

    $61.9K

    +$150 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Mary Peltola within 0% to 3%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Dan Sullivan within 3% to 6%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Mary Peltola within 0% to 3%
    		27¢27¢
    $9.3K+$60 24h
    		-4¢—
    2
    Dan Sullivan within 0% to 3%
    		22¢22¢
    $15.6K
    		-5¢—
    3
    Mary Peltola within 3% to 6%
    		19¢19¢
    $7.5K+$90 24h
    		-2¢—
    4
    Mary Peltola within 6% to 9%
    		14¢14¢
    $4.6K
    		-2¢—
    5
    Mary Peltola within 9% to 12%
    		11¢11¢
    $2.7K
    		-5¢—
    6
    Mary Peltola within 12% to 100%
    		11¢11¢
    $2.7K
    		-1¢—
    7
    Dan Sullivan within 3% to 6%
    		7¢7¢
    $3.0K
    		-5¢—
    8
    Dan Sullivan within 6% to 9%
    		5¢5¢
    $6.1K
    		-3¢—
    9
    Dan Sullivan within 12% to 100%
    		3¢3¢
    $5.4K
    		-2¢—
    10
    Dan Sullivan within 9% to 12%
    		2¢2¢
    $4.9K
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Mary Peltola within 0% to 3%
    27%
    27¢-4¢
    2Dan Sullivan within 0% to 3%
    22%
    22¢-5¢
    3Mary Peltola within 3% to 6%
    19%
    19¢-2¢
    4Mary Peltola within 6% to 9%
    14%
    14¢-2¢
    5Mary Peltola within 9% to 12%
    11¢-5¢
    6Mary Peltola within 12% to 100%
    11¢-1¢
    7Dan Sullivan within 3% to 6%
    7¢-5¢
    8Dan Sullivan within 6% to 9%
    5¢-3¢
    9Dan Sullivan within 12% to 100%
    3¢-2¢
    10Dan Sullivan within 9% to 12%
    2¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 2, 2027

    ~239 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $61.9K

    Whale Activity

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