TRADING OPEN

    AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $17.4K

    +$160 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    29¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -14¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 25-30%
    		29¢29¢
    $2.3K+$60 24h
    		-4¢—
    2
    Republican 30-35%
    		27¢27¢
    $2.2K
    		——
    3
    Republican 20-25%
    		18¢18¢
    $2.4K+$100 24h
    		-2¢—
    4
    Republican 35-40%
    		15¢15¢
    $768
    		-14¢—
    5
    Republican 45-50%
    		6¢6¢
    $2.1K
    		-5¢—
    6
    Republican 40-45%
    		5¢5¢
    $600
    		-3¢—
    7
    Republican 50%+
    		5¢5¢
    $2.2K
    		-5¢—
    8
    Republican 10-20%
    		3¢3¢
    $857
    		-3¢—
    9
    Republican 0-10%
    		3¢3¢
    $3.8K
    		-2¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $317
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 25-30%
    29%
    29¢-4¢
    2Republican 30-35%
    27%
    27¢—
    3Republican 20-25%
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    4Republican 35-40%
    15%
    15¢-14¢
    5Republican 45-50%
    6¢-5¢
    6Republican 40-45%
    5¢-3¢
    7Republican 50%+
    5¢-5¢
    8Republican 10-20%
    3¢-3¢
    9Republican 0-10%
    3¢-2¢
    10Democrat Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $17.4K

    Whale Activity

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