TRADING OPEN

    AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $26.1K

    +$500 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    38¢

    Republican 60-65%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -15¢

    Republican 55-60%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    138¢38¢
    $6.7K+$140 24h
    +3¢—
    223¢23¢
    $3.7K+$40 24h
    +3¢—
    320¢20¢
    $6.3K+$320 24h
    -15¢—
    49¢9¢
    $2.0K
    -8¢—
    56¢6¢
    $1.0K
    -4¢—
    65¢5¢
    $823
    +2¢—
    75¢5¢
    $3.5K
    -2¢—
    83¢3¢
    $659
    -2¢—
    91¢1¢
    $657
    ——
    101¢1¢
    $672
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 60-65%
    38%
    38¢+3¢
    2Republican 65-70%
    23%
    23¢+3¢
    3Republican 55-60%
    20%
    20¢-15¢
    4Republican 50-55%
    9¢-8¢
    5Republican 70-75%
    6¢-4¢
    6Democrat Wins
    5¢+2¢
    7Republican 35-45%
    5¢-2¢
    8Republican 45-50%
    3¢-2¢
    9Republican 0-35%
    1¢—
    10Republican 75%+
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $26.1K

    Whale Activity

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