TRADING OPEN

    AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $20.0K

    +$267 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    31¢

    Republican 55-60%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Republican 50-55%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 55-60% Hot
    		31¢31¢
    $5.1K+$236 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 60-65%
    		24¢24¢
    $4.8K
    		-2¢—
    3
    Republican 50-55%
    		19¢19¢
    $867
    		-6¢—
    4
    Republican 65-70%📈 Trending
    		9¢9¢
    $3.2K+$30 24h
    		+3¢—
    5
    Republican 45-50%
    		7¢7¢
    $553
    		-5¢—
    6
    Republican 35-45%
    		7¢7¢
    $3.3K
    		-5¢—
    7
    Republican 70-75%
    		4¢4¢
    $761
    		-3¢—
    8
    Democrat Wins Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $479
    		-3¢—
    9
    Republican 0-35% Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $574
    		-1¢—
    10
    Republican 75%+ Hot
    		0¢0¢
    $424
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 55-60%
    31%
    31¢—
    2Republican 60-65%
    24%
    24¢-2¢
    3Republican 50-55%
    19%
    19¢-6¢
    4Republican 65-70%
    9¢+3¢
    5Republican 45-50%
    7¢-5¢
    6Republican 35-45%
    7¢-5¢
    7Republican 70-75%
    4¢-3¢
    8Democrat Wins
    4¢-3¢
    9Republican 0-35%
    2¢-1¢
    10Republican 75%+
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~28 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $20.0K

    Whale Activity

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