AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 10 markets: Republican 35-45% at 30¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
- Republican 55-60%: Yes 14¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 60-65%: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 65-70%: Yes 8¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 70-75%: Yes 11¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 75%+: Yes 14¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat Wins: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 0-35%: Yes 11¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 50-55%: Yes 14¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 45-50%: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 35-45%: Yes 30¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sAL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Total Volume
$437
+$0 (24h)
Active Markets
10
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
30¢
Republican 35-45%
Biggest Mover 24h
-37¢
Republican 45-50%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30¢ | 30¢ | $33 | -31¢ | — | |
| 2 | 23¢ | 23¢ | $33 | -37¢ | — | |
| 3 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $33 | -4¢ | — | |
| 4 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $33 | — | — | |
| 5 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $33 | -4¢ | — | |
| 6 | 11¢ | 11¢ | $33 | -3¢ | — | |
| 7 | 11¢ | 11¢ | $33 | -4¢ | — | |
| 8 | 10¢ | 10¢ | $143 | -8¢ | — | |
| 9 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $33 | -4¢ | — | |
| 10 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $32 | — | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
Whale Activity
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