International

    Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

    Antonio Martín del Campo leads by 33 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. Antonio Martín del Campo#162%
    2. Leo Montañez#229%
    3. Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez#310%
    #4 José Antonio Arámbula López2%#5 Leticia Olivares Jiménez1%+11 more
    Resolves
    Jun 6, 2027
    Volume
    $62.7K
    24h
    $57
    Liquidity
    $154.4K
    Candidates
    16
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 16 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Antonio Martín del Campo62%
    • Leo Montañez29%
    • Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez10%
    • José Antonio Arámbula López2%
    • Leticia Olivares Jiménez1%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Antonio Martín del Campo24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez24h
      7¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Antonio Martín del Campo$17.6K vol62%▼ 9Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US70¢71¢ after fees
    Leo Montañez$13.5K vol29%▼ 2kalshi32¢34¢ after fees
    Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez$13.6K vol · 7¢ apart10%▼ 2kalshi18¢20¢ after fees
    José Antonio Arámbula López$400 vol2%▼ 1kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Leticia Olivares Jiménez$1.8K vol1%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Anayeli Muñoz$1.5K vol1%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Kendor Gregorio Macías Martínez$1.9K vol1%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Lorena Martínez$1.4K vol1%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Ana Gómez Calzada$1.2K vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo$2.2K vol<1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez7¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the re…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, June 6, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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