Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

    Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? Live odds across 18 markets: Uganda at 61¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $69.2K

    +$493 (24h)

    Active Markets

    18

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    53¢

    Uganda

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    Uganda

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    18 markets · Showing 8
    #
    153¢61¢
    $357
    -7¢
    232¢40¢
    $212
    -7¢
    316¢20¢
    $6.6K
    +1¢
    412¢14¢
    $2.7K+$392 24h
    -2¢
    510¢11¢
    $5.9K
    -1¢
    611¢
    $7.7K+$100 24h
    -3¢
    7
    $31.4K
    -1¢
    810¢
    $527+$1 24h
    -3¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Uganda
    53%
    53¢-7¢
    2Democratic Republic of the Congo
    32%
    32¢-7¢
    3Lebanon
    16%
    16¢+1¢
    4Russia
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    5Ukraine
    10¢-1¢
    6Syria
    -3¢
    7Iran
    -1¢
    8South Sudan
    -3¢
    9Yemen
    -4¢
    10Iraq
    -2¢
    11Afghanistan
    -4¢
    12Burma (Myanmar)
    -2¢
    13Somalia
    -3¢
    14Haiti
    -2¢
    15Gaza
    -3¢
    16Libya
    -2¢
    17North Korea
    -2¢
    18Sudan
    -2¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~199 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    18
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $69.2K

    Whale Activity

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