What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1? Live odds across 7 markets: Between 10% and 19.99% at 97¢. Resolves Jul 1, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Jul 1, 2026
- Below 10%: Yes 6¢ (kalshi)
- Between 20% and 29.99%: Yes 3¢ (kalshi)
- Between 30% and 39.99%: Yes 6¢ (kalshi)
- Between 10% and 19.99%: Yes 97¢ (kalshi)
- Above 60%: Yes 1¢ (kalshi)
- Between 50% and 60%: Yes 1¢ (kalshi)
- Between 40% and 49.99%: Yes 2¢ (kalshi)
LIVE
8sWhat will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
Resolves Jul 1, 2026
Total Volume
$119.3K
+$349 (24h)
Active Markets
7
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
95¢
Between 10% and 19.99%
Biggest Mover 24h
-3¢
Between 30% and 39.99%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $35.1K+$20 24h | -2¢ | — | |
| 2 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $20.5K+$192 24h | -2¢ | — | |
| 3 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $12.6K+$29 24h | -3¢ | — | |
| 4 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $40.4K+$108 24h | -2¢ | — | |
| 5 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $6.0K | -1¢ | — | |
| 6 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1.9K | — | — | |
| 7 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $2.7K | — | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsPrice History
Event Info
Whale Activity
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