Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

    Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? Live odds across 5 markets: Before Jan 1, 2030 at 45¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2030. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030

    Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030
    Total Volume

    $426.2K

    +$491 (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    44¢

    Before Jan 1, 2030

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    Before Jan 1, 2029

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    144¢45¢
    $18.5K+$6 24h
    -1¢
    237¢40¢
    $16.3K
    -3¢
    323¢23¢
    $31.0K+$311 24h
    410¢
    $169.5K+$128 24h
    -1¢
    5
    $190.9K+$46 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 1, 2030
    44%
    44¢-1¢
    2Before Jan 1, 2029
    37%
    37¢-3¢
    3Before Jan 1, 2028
    23%
    23¢
    4Before Jan 1, 2027
    -1¢
    5Before Jul 1, 2026

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2030

    ~1295 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $426.2K

    Whale Activity

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