How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

    How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026? Live odds across 10 markets: 4 at 34¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    • 8: Yes 6¢ (kalshi)
    • 9: Yes 6¢ (kalshi)
    • 5: Yes 20¢ (kalshi)
    • 2: Yes 9¢ (kalshi)
    • 4: Yes 34¢ (kalshi)
    • 10 or above: Yes 8¢ (kalshi)
    • 6: Yes 12¢ (kalshi)
    • 7: Yes 7¢ (kalshi)
    • 3: Yes 26¢ (kalshi)
    • 1 or below: Yes 5¢ (kalshi)

    How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $6.3K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    32¢

    4

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    4

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets · Showing 8
    #
    132¢34¢
    $750
    -4¢
    223¢26¢
    $544
    -3¢
    319¢20¢
    $562
    -2¢
    410¢12¢
    $320
    -4¢
    5
    $348
    -1¢
    6
    $398
    -2¢
    7
    $336
    -2¢
    8
    $2.9K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14
    32%
    32¢-4¢
    23
    23%
    23¢-3¢
    35
    19%
    19¢-2¢
    46
    10¢-4¢
    52
    -1¢
    610 or above
    -2¢
    77
    -2¢
    81 or below
    98
    -2¢
    109
    -2¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~200 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6.3K

    Whale Activity

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