2026 Nobel Physics winner?

    2026 Nobel Physics winner? Live odds across 24 markets: Charles Kane at 30¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    2026 Nobel Physics winner?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $3.1K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    24

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    Charles Kane

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Eugene Mele

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    24 markets · Showing 8
    #
    126¢30¢
    $694
    -4¢
    216¢20¢
    $503
    -4¢
    315¢19¢
    $172
    -4¢
    410¢14¢
    $90
    -4¢
    510¢14¢
    $90
    -4¢
    610¢14¢
    $44
    -4¢
    710¢14¢
    $58
    -4¢
    810¢14¢
    $90
    -4¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Charles Kane
    26%
    26¢-4¢
    2Alexei Kitaev
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    3Eugene Mele
    15%
    15¢-4¢
    4Pablo Jarillo-Herrero
    10¢-4¢
    5John Pendry
    10¢-4¢
    6Yakir Aharonov
    10¢-4¢
    7Allan MacDonald
    10¢-4¢
    8Ewine van Dishoeck
    10¢-4¢
    9Ingrid Daubechies
    10¢-4¢
    10Yves Meyer
    10¢-4¢
    11Stéphane Mallat
    10¢-4¢
    12James Eisenstein
    10¢-4¢
    13Rafi Bistritzer
    10¢-4¢
    14Federico Capasso
    10¢-4¢
    15Moty Heiblum
    10¢-4¢
    16Simon White
    10¢-4¢
    17Sara Seager
    10¢-4¢
    18Jainendra Jain
    10¢-4¢
    19Peter Shor
    10¢-3¢
    20Michael Berry
    10¢-3¢
    21John Preskill
    10¢-3¢
    22Carlos Frenk
    -2¢
    23Marc Davis
    -1¢
    24David Charbonneau

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~200 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    24
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $3.1K

    Whale Activity

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