When will the next US recession start?

    When will the next US recession start? Live odds across 6 markets: Q4 2025 at 8¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    When will the next US recession start?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $506.0K

    +$120 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    Q4 2025

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    Q4 2025

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    1
    $95.9K+$62 24h
    -3¢
    2
    $81.8K+$58 24h
    -2¢
    3
    $80.0K
    4
    $130.0K
    5
    $43.4K
    6
    $74.9K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Q4 2025
    -3¢
    2Q1 2026
    -2¢
    3Q3 2025
    4Q2 2025
    5Q4 2024
    6Q1 2025

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $506.0K

    Whale Activity

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