How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

    How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026? Live odds across 5 markets: 4 at 31¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    • 3: Yes 22¢ (kalshi)
    • 7 or more: Yes 17¢ (kalshi)
    • 6: Yes 11¢ (kalshi)
    • 5: Yes 20¢ (kalshi)
    • 4: Yes 31¢ (kalshi)

    How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $174.2K

    +$37 (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    4

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    7 or more

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    128¢31¢
    $19.1K
    -4¢
    220¢22¢
    $26.7K+$33 24h
    -2¢
    318¢20¢
    $16.4K
    -2¢
    414¢17¢
    $96.3K+$4 24h
    -4¢
    510¢11¢
    $15.6K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14
    28%
    28¢-4¢
    23
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    35
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    47 or more
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    56
    10¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~141 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $174.2K

    Whale Activity

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