What will Jay Clayton say during Senate nomination hearing for Director of National Intelligence?

    What will Jay Clayton say during Senate nomination hearing for Director of National Intelligence? Live odds across 17 markets: Surveillance / FISA at 94¢. Resol

    Resolves Jul 2, 2026

    What will Jay Clayton say during Senate nomination hearing for Director of National Intelligence?

    Resolves Jul 2, 2026
    Total Volume

    $981

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    17

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    90¢

    Surveillance / FISA

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -24¢

    Tulsi / Gabbard

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    17 markets · Showing 8
    #
    190¢94¢
    $314
    +7¢
    287¢93¢
    $294
    +4¢
    377¢81¢
    $92
    -2¢
    475¢79¢
    $0
    -4¢
    574¢80¢
    $0
    -10¢
    666¢78¢
    $13
    -17¢
    749¢49¢
    $32
    -10¢
    837¢38¢
    $1
    -2¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Surveillance / FISA
    90%
    90¢+7¢
    2China / Chinese
    87%
    87¢+4¢
    3FBI / CIA
    77%
    77¢-2¢
    4Terrorist / Terrorism
    75%
    75¢-4¢
    5Trump (3+ times)
    74%
    74¢-10¢
    6New York
    66%
    66¢-17¢
    7Election
    49%
    49¢-10¢
    8Russia / Russian
    37%
    37¢-2¢
    9Maduro
    37%
    37¢-2¢
    10Biden
    34%
    34¢-5¢
    11Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin
    33%
    33¢-6¢
    12Fraud
    32%
    32¢-7¢
    13Epstein
    22%
    22¢-17¢
    14Fentanyl
    21%
    21¢-18¢
    15Elon / Musk
    21%
    21¢-18¢
    16Tulsi / Gabbard
    20%
    20¢-24¢
    17Event does not qualify
    -22¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 2, 2026

    ~17 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    17
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $981

    Whale Activity

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