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    Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

    Resolves Jan 20, 2029
    Total Volume

    $4.8M

    +$10.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    3

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    21¢

    Before January 20, 2029

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Before January 20, 2029

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    3 markets · Showing 3
    #
    1
    —
    Before January 20, 2029
    		21¢22¢
    $3.4M+$4.6K 24h
    		-4¢—
    2
    —
    Before 2027
    		8¢8¢
    $1.3M+$2.9K 24h
    		——
    3
    —
    Before Jul 1, 2026
    		1¢1¢
    $107.9K+$2.8K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before January 20, 2029
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    2Before 2027
    8¢—
    3Before Jul 1, 2026
    1¢—

    Price History

    Before January 20, 2029Before 2027
    May 27 10:35May 28 16:06May 29 23:49May 30 23:30Jun 1 07:47Jun 2 07:282.6%10.6%18.6%33.0%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Trump sought Greenland deal that would hand U.S. more control over security

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump says 'framework of a future deal' discussed on Greenland as he drops tariffs threat - BBC News

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump negotiating for 'total access' to Greenland after dropping tariff threat | Fox Business

    1 minAnders Hagstrom
    Politics

    Trump rules out using military force to acquire Greenland in Davos speech - ABC News

    1 minABC News
    Politics

    What Trump’s Greenland ‘Framework’ Could Look Like: What We Know - Newsweek

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump drops tariff threat, says he won’t take Greenland by force | International Trade News | Al Jazeera

    1 minJohn Power
    Politics

    Denmark mulls extra US bases in Greenland under Trump 'infinite' deal as NATO ramps up Arctic security

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump actively discussing potentially buying Greenland, White House says

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 20, 2029

    ~964 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    3
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $4.8M

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 12.0% in 24h

      Before January 20, 2029 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 8.0% in 24h

      Before January 20, 2029 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 12.0% in 24h

      Before January 20, 2029 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 4:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 12.0% in 24h

      Before January 20, 2029 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 3:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 12.0% in 24h

      Before January 20, 2029 · Kalshi