Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

    Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30) Live odds across 15 markets: North Carolina at 100¢. Resolves Jul 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jul 31, 2026

    Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

    Resolves Jul 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $25.3K

    +$11.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    99¢

    Missouri

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +39¢

    California

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 markets · Showing 8
    #
    199¢99¢
    $3.7K+$492 24h
    281¢100¢
    $1.6K+$486 24h
    -19¢
    362¢85¢
    $3.2K+$1.5K 24h
    -2¢
    460¢99¢
    $1.0K+$589 24h
    553¢75¢
    $607+$381 24h
    -21¢
    653¢99¢
    $646+$375 24h
    +36¢
    748¢96¢
    $3.1K+$1.6K 24h
    +39¢
    846¢71¢
    $466+$362 24h
    +17¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Missouri
    99%
    99¢
    2North Carolina
    81%
    81¢-19¢
    3Oregon
    62%
    62¢-2¢
    4Louisiana
    60%
    60¢
    5Virginia
    53%
    53¢-21¢
    6Iowa
    53%
    53¢+36¢
    7California
    48%
    48¢+39¢
    8Tennessee
    46%
    46¢+17¢
    9Kansas
    44%
    44¢+4¢
    10Washington
    29%
    29¢+7¢
    11Arizona
    25%
    25¢-10¢
    12Minnesota
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    13North Dakota
    14Illinois
    -3¢
    15Indiana
    -3¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 31, 2026

    ~45 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $25.3K

    Whale Activity

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