Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    Will the Citrini scenario happen?

    Resolves Jul 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $25.8M

    +$7.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    1

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Yes

    Biggest Mover 24h

    —

    No movement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    1 markets · Showing 1
    #
    1
    Yes
    		27¢27¢
    $25.8M+$7.4K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Yes
    27%
    27¢—

    Price History

    No price history available for this period.

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Will the Citrini scenario happen? Kalshi Market Analysis

    1 minPrediction News Network
    Politics

    THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS

    1 minCitrini
    Politics

    Citrini’s AI Job Loss Scenario Faces Pushback From Global Investors, Economists - Bloomberg

    1 minFarah Elbahrawy
    Politics

    The Citrini post is just a scary bedtime story

    1 minNoah Smith
    Politics

    Citrini's Scenario Is A Great But Deeply Flawed Thought Experiment

    1 minZvi Mowshowitz
    Politics

    Citrini Scenario Odds: AI Doom Loop Sits Close To 25% Chance

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Is Citrini Research's dark AI future a given? | TechTarget

    1 minBy: Tim Murphy

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 1, 2028

    ~761 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    1
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $25.8M

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    No timeline entries