Who will leave California before 2027?

    Who will leave California before 2027? Live odds across 7 markets: Peter Thiel at 59¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    Who will leave California before 2027?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $16.8K

    +$10 (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    57¢

    Peter Thiel

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Peter Thiel

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #
    157¢59¢
    $3.1K
    -4¢
    244¢47¢
    $3.2K
    -4¢
    333¢36¢
    $4.0K+$10 24h
    -3¢
    419¢22¢
    $2.2K
    -3¢
    518¢20¢
    $3.1K
    -2¢
    616¢18¢
    $774
    -2¢
    710¢12¢
    $475
    -2¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Peter Thiel
    57%
    57¢-4¢
    2Larry Page
    44%
    44¢-4¢
    3Mark Zuckerberg
    33%
    33¢-3¢
    4Chamath Palihapitiya
    19%
    19¢-3¢
    5Marc Andreessen
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    6Palmer Luckey
    16%
    16¢-2¢
    7Jensen Huang
    10¢-2¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~199 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.8K

    Whale Activity

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