Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

    Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? Live odds across 2 markets: Before Jan 1, 2028 at 81¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2028. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028

    Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $11.9K

    +$7 (24h)

    Active Markets

    2

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    79¢

    Before Jan 1, 2028

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +2¢

    Before Jan 1, 2028

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    2 markets · Showing 2
    #
    179¢81¢
    $6.3K
    +2¢
    226¢27¢
    $5.6K+$7 24h
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 1, 2028
    79%
    79¢+2¢
    2Before Jan 1, 2027
    26%
    26¢-1¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~564 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    2
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $11.9K

    Whale Activity

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