Who will have a #1 hit this year?

    Who will have a #1 hit this year? Live odds across 113 markets: Mariah Carey at 96¢. Resolves Dec 21, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 21, 2026

    Who will have a #1 hit this year?

    Resolves Dec 21, 2026
    Total Volume

    $168.5K

    +$386 (24h)

    Active Markets

    113

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    93¢

    Mariah Carey

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Morgan Wallen

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    113 markets · Showing 8
    #
    193¢96¢
    $2.2K
    -4¢
    255¢59¢
    $4.5K
    -4¢
    354¢57¢
    $5.5K+$19 24h
    439¢47¢
    $3.1K
    -8¢
    537¢47¢
    $2.3K
    -10¢
    628¢32¢
    $2.2K
    -4¢
    726¢30¢
    $8.9K+$4 24h
    -4¢
    826¢32¢
    $2.7K
    -6¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Mariah Carey
    93%
    93¢-4¢
    2Beyoncé
    55%
    55¢-4¢
    3Post Malone
    54%
    54¢
    4Kendrick Lamar
    39%
    39¢-8¢
    5Morgan Wallen
    37%
    37¢-10¢
    6Billie Eilish
    28%
    28¢-4¢
    7Olivia Dean
    26%
    26¢-4¢
    8Sabrina Carpenter
    26%
    26¢-6¢
    9Future
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    10Justin Bieber
    22%
    22¢-1¢
    11Chappell Roan
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    12Travis Scott
    20%
    20¢-7¢
    13Tate McRae
    20%
    20¢-6¢
    14Gracie Abrams
    19%
    19¢-2¢
    15SZA
    19%
    19¢-6¢
    16Lady Gaga
    19%
    19¢-2¢
    17Megan Thee Stallion
    17%
    17¢-4¢
    18Luke Combs
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    19The Weeknd
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    20SIENNA SPIRO
    14%
    14¢-6¢
    21Zara Larsson
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    22Leon Thomas
    13%
    13¢-3¢
    23PinkPantheress
    13%
    13¢-1¢
    24Lil Wayne
    12%
    12¢-3¢
    25Nicki Minaj
    11¢-6¢
    26Dua Lipa
    11¢-6¢
    27Tyla
    11¢-5¢
    28sombr
    11¢-4¢
    29KATSEYE
    11¢-4¢
    30Rihanna
    11¢-5¢
    31Doja Cat
    10¢-3¢
    32Benson Boone
    10¢-3¢
    33Charli xcx
    10¢-4¢
    34Alex Warren
    10¢-3¢
    35Shaboozey
    10¢-5¢
    36Selena Gomez
    10¢-4¢
    37BLACKPINK
    10¢-2¢
    38Tyler, The Creator
    10¢-4¢
    39Shawn Mendes
    -1¢
    40Young Thug
    -4¢
    41Lana Del Rey
    -5¢
    42Ed Sheeran
    -3¢
    43Frank Ocean
    -4¢
    4421 Savage
    -4¢
    45Don Toliver
    -2¢
    46Lil Uzi Vert
    -2¢
    47J. Cole
    -2¢
    48Doechii
    -4¢
    49Charlie Puth
    -4¢
    50KAROL G
    -4¢
    51Chris Brown
    -2¢
    52Kanye West / Ye
    -4¢
    53Calvin Harris
    -1¢
    54Linkin Park
    -4¢
    55Fred again..
    -2¢
    56Khalid
    -3¢
    57Addison Rae
    -3¢
    58PARTYNEXTDOOR
    -4¢
    59Zach Bryan
    -3¢
    60Eminem
    -2¢
    61Kali Uchis
    -4¢
    62Stray Kids
    -2¢
    63YoungBoy Never Broke Again
    -2¢
    64The Marías
    -4¢
    65Lola Young
    -4¢
    66Offset
    -4¢
    67Lil Baby
    -2¢
    68J Balvin
    -1¢
    69USHER
    -1¢
    70Bebe Rexha
    -1¢
    71Daft Punk
    -2¢
    72Sam Smith
    -1¢
    73Ice Spice
    -2¢
    74Swae Lee
    -4¢
    75Lewis Capaldi
    -4¢
    76Quavo
    -4¢
    77Joji
    -2¢
    78Coldplay
    -1¢
    79The Kid LAROI
    -2¢
    80Polo G
    -3¢
    81mgk
    -2¢
    822 Chainz
    -3¢
    83Jason Derulo
    -2¢
    84Daniel Caesar
    -3¢
    85Migos
    -3¢
    86Geese
    -2¢
    87David Guetta
    -2¢
    88Clairo
    -2¢
    89Rauw Alejandro
    -2¢
    90EsDeeKid
    -2¢
    91ROSALÍA
    -4¢
    92Pharrell Williams
    -4¢
    93Big Sean
    -2¢
    94Maroon 5
    -4¢
    95Anuel AA
    -2¢
    96Justin Timberlake
    -4¢
    97Sia
    -2¢
    98Childish Gambino
    -4¢
    99Lil Nas X
    -4¢
    100NF
    -3¢
    101Logic
    -3¢
    102Ozuna
    -3¢
    103Trippie Redd
    -3¢
    104Kid Cudi
    -3¢
    105Kodak Black
    -3¢
    106Roddy Ricch
    -3¢
    107Camilo
    -3¢
    108John Mayer
    -3¢
    109Lil Yachty
    -3¢
    110Grimes
    -3¢
    111Bryson Tiller
    -3¢
    112Tyga
    -3¢
    113Fall Out Boy
    -2¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 21, 2026

    ~188 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    113
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $168.5K

    Whale Activity

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