TRADING OPEN

    3rd richest person on December 31?

    This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

    Resolves Jan 2, 2027
    Total Volume

    $74.5K

    +$520 (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    83¢

    Elon Musk

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -27¢

    Warren Buffett

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 markets
    #
    183¢25¢83¢
    $11.3K+$2 24h
    -15¢
    18¢
    256¢21¢91¢
    $5.6K
    -12¢
    46¢
    345¢8¢83¢
    $20.1K
    -4¢
    67¢
    428¢41¢15¢
    $2.7K
    -27¢—
    524¢42¢6¢
    $5.9K
    -14¢—
    618¢21¢15¢
    $14.0K
    -17¢—
    717¢22¢17¢
    $7.2K+$518 24h
    -2¢—
    814¢14¢—
    $346
    -13¢—
    911¢8¢14¢
    $2.3K
    -7¢—
    103¢0¢6¢
    $5.0K
    -3¢
    1¢
    110¢0¢—
    $292
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Elon Musk
    83%
    83¢-15¢
    2Jeff Bezos
    56%
    56¢-12¢
    3Larry Page
    45%
    45¢-4¢
    4Warren Buffett
    28%
    28¢-27¢
    5Jensen Huang
    24%
    24¢-14¢
    6Steve Ballmer
    18%
    18¢-17¢
    7Mark Zuckerberg
    17%
    17¢-2¢
    8Sergey Brin
    11¢-7¢
    9Larry Ellison
    3¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 2, 2027

    ~81 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    11
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $74.5K

    Whale Activity

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