TRADING OPEN

    3rd richest person on December 31?

    This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

    Resolves Jan 2, 2027
    Total Volume

    $75.2K

    +$74 (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    98¢

    Elon Musk

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -22¢

    Larry Ellison

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 markets
    #
    1
    Elon Musk📈 Trending
    98¢25¢98¢
    $11.3K+$3 24h
    +2¢
    47¢
    293¢40¢93¢
    $5.6K+$3 24h
    —
    12¢
    349¢11¢87¢
    $20.4K
    -2¢
    67¢
    431¢31¢14¢
    $14.0K+$41 24h
    +14¢—
    518¢19¢17¢
    $7.2K
    -2¢—
    614¢14¢—
    $346
    -13¢—
    713¢11¢14¢
    $2.3K
    -5¢—
    811¢15¢6¢
    $6.0K
    +1¢—
    95¢2¢18¢
    $2.7K+$27 24h
    -19¢—
    103¢2¢5¢
    $5.1K
    -22¢—
    110¢0¢—
    $292
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Elon Musk
    98%
    98¢+2¢
    2Jeff Bezos
    93%
    93¢—
    3Larry Page
    49%
    49¢-2¢
    4Steve Ballmer
    31%
    31¢+14¢
    5Mark Zuckerberg
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    6Sergey Brin
    13%
    13¢-5¢
    7Jensen Huang
    11¢+1¢
    8Warren Buffett
    5¢-19¢
    9Larry Ellison
    3¢-22¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 2, 2027

    ~74 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    11
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $75.2K

    Whale Activity

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