TRADING OPEN

    2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028
    Total Volume

    $135.5K

    +$3 (24h)

    Active Markets

    32

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    10¢

    AOC defeats JD Vance

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    32 markets
    #
    110¢10¢
    $11.5K
    ——
    29¢9¢
    $20.9K+$3 24h
    -1¢—
    39¢9¢
    $7.0K
    ——
    46¢6¢
    $20.3K
    -1¢—
    55¢5¢
    $2.5K
    -3¢—
    65¢5¢
    $8.1K
    -1¢—
    75¢5¢
    $12.9K
    -2¢—
    84¢4¢
    $700
    -1¢—
    94¢4¢
    $5.8K
    -2¢—
    104¢4¢
    $1.6K
    ——
    113¢3¢
    $5.1K
    -1¢—
    122¢2¢
    $1.4K
    ——
    132¢2¢
    $787
    -1¢—
    142¢2¢
    $747
    ——
    152¢2¢
    $204
    ——
    162¢2¢
    $500
    ——
    172¢2¢
    $2.1K
    ——
    182¢2¢
    $4.5K
    ——
    192¢2¢
    $1.4K
    ——
    202¢2¢
    $761
    ——
    212¢2¢
    $0
    ——
    222¢2¢
    $96
    ——
    231¢1¢
    $200
    -1¢—
    241¢1¢
    $453
    -1¢—
    251¢1¢
    $593
    -1¢—
    261¢1¢
    $493
    -1¢—
    271¢1¢
    $15.9K
    -1¢—
    281¢1¢
    $484
    -1¢—
    291¢1¢
    $493
    -1¢—
    301¢1¢
    $6.4K
    -1¢—
    311¢1¢
    $155
    -1¢—
    321¢1¢
    $1.6K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1AOC defeats JD Vance
    10¢—
    2JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
    9¢-1¢
    3Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance
    9¢—
    4Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
    6¢-1¢
    5Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance
    5¢-3¢
    6JD Vance defeats AOC
    5¢-1¢
    7Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
    5¢-2¢
    8Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance
    4¢-1¢
    9JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris
    4¢-2¢
    10AOC defeats Marco Rubio
    4¢—
    11Marco Rubio defeats AOC
    3¢-1¢
    12Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio
    2¢—
    13Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris
    2¢-1¢
    14James Talarico defeats JD Vance
    2¢—
    15JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg
    2¢—
    16JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff
    2¢—
    17Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance
    2¢—
    18Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio
    2¢—
    19JD Vance defeats James Talarico
    2¢—
    20Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance
    2¢—
    21Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio
    2¢—
    22JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear
    2¢—
    23Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro
    1¢-1¢
    24Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico
    1¢-1¢
    25Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg
    1¢-1¢
    26Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear
    1¢-1¢
    27Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom
    1¢-1¢
    28JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro
    1¢-1¢
    29James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio
    1¢-1¢
    30Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio
    1¢-1¢
    31Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio
    1¢-1¢
    32Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 7, 2028

    ~753 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    32
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $135.5K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...