US Election

    2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

    Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance leads by 2 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance#110%
    2. AOC defeats JD Vance#28%
    3. Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio#38%
    #4 JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom6%#5 Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio5%+55 more
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $184.2K
    24h
    $124
    Candidates
    60
    kalshi1 venue · 60 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance10%
    • AOC defeats JD Vance8%
    • Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio8%
    • JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom6%
    • Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio5%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance$20.3K vol10%—kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    AOC defeats JD Vance$16.3K vol8%▲ 1kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio$10.7K vol8%—kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom$21.5K vol6%—kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio$15.6K vol5%▼ 1kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance$23.0K vol4%—kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff$3.5K vol3%▼ 1kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    AOC defeats Marco Rubio$2.5K vol3%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris$2.0K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio$467 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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