TRADING OPEN
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
Resolves Nov 7, 2028
Total Volume
$135.5K
+$3 (24h)
Active Markets
32
Across 1 platform
Frontrunner
10¢
AOC defeats JD Vance
Biggest Mover 24h
-3¢
Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
32 markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10¢ | 10¢ | $11.5K | — | — | |
| 2 | 9¢ | 9¢ | $20.9K+$3 24h | -1¢ | — | |
| 3 | 9¢ | 9¢ | $7.0K | — | — | |
| 4 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $20.3K | -1¢ | — | |
| 5 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $2.5K | -3¢ | — | |
| 6 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $8.1K | -1¢ | — | |
| 7 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $12.9K | -2¢ | — | |
| 8 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $700 | -1¢ | — | |
| 9 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $5.8K | -2¢ | — | |
| 10 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $1.6K | — | — | |
| 11 | 3¢ | 3¢ | $5.1K | -1¢ | — | |
| 12 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1.4K | — | — | |
| 13 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $787 | -1¢ | — | |
| 14 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $747 | — | — | |
| 15 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $204 | — | — | |
| 16 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $500 | — | — | |
| 17 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2.1K | — | — | |
| 18 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $4.5K | — | — | |
| 19 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1.4K | — | — | |
| 20 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $761 | — | — | |
| 21 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $0 | — | — | |
| 22 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $96 | — | — | |
| 23 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $200 | -1¢ | — | |
| 24 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $453 | -1¢ | — | |
| 25 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $593 | -1¢ | — | |
| 26 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $493 | -1¢ | — | |
| 27 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $15.9K | -1¢ | — | |
| 28 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $484 | -1¢ | — | |
| 29 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $493 | -1¢ | — | |
| 30 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $6.4K | -1¢ | — | |
| 31 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $155 | -1¢ | — | |
| 32 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1.6K | — | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platforms1AOC defeats JD Vance
10¢—
2JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
9¢-1¢
3Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance
9¢—
4Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
6¢-1¢
5Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance
5¢-3¢
6JD Vance defeats AOC
5¢-1¢
7Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
5¢-2¢
8Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance
4¢-1¢
9JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris
4¢-2¢
10AOC defeats Marco Rubio
4¢—
11Marco Rubio defeats AOC
3¢-1¢
12Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio
2¢—
13Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris
2¢-1¢
14James Talarico defeats JD Vance
2¢—
15JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg
2¢—
16JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff
2¢—
17Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance
2¢—
18Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio
2¢—
19JD Vance defeats James Talarico
2¢—
20Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance
2¢—
21Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio
2¢—
22JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear
2¢—
23Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro
1¢-1¢
24Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico
1¢-1¢
25Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg
1¢-1¢
26Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear
1¢-1¢
27Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom
1¢-1¢
28JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro
1¢-1¢
29James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio
1¢-1¢
30Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio
1¢-1¢
31Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio
1¢-1¢
32Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff
1¢—
Event Info
Resolution Date
~Nov 7, 2028
~753 days remaining Category
Politics
Markets
32
Platforms
1
Total Volume
$135.5K
Whale Activity
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