TRADING OPEN

    2028 popular vote margin of victory?

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028
    Total Volume

    $134.4K

    +$6.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    20

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    24¢

    Democratic by 9.0% or more

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +1¢

    Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    20 markets
    #
    124¢24¢
    $12.9K+$791 24h
    ——
    210¢10¢
    $17.2K+$3.1K 24h
    +1¢—
    38¢8¢
    $8.1K+$2.2K 24h
    -1¢—
    48¢8¢
    $4.6K
    ——
    57¢7¢
    $5.1K
    ——
    67¢7¢
    $5.8K
    ——
    76¢6¢
    $5.5K
    ——
    86¢6¢
    $6.4K
    ——
    95¢5¢
    $3.6K
    ——
    105¢5¢
    $9.2K
    ——
    114¢4¢
    $7.9K
    ——
    124¢4¢
    $6.2K
    ——
    134¢4¢
    $5.0K
    ——
    143¢3¢
    $4.9K
    ——
    153¢3¢
    $9.2K
    ——
    163¢3¢
    $4.7K
    ——
    173¢3¢
    $4.5K
    ——
    183¢3¢
    $5.5K
    ——
    193¢3¢
    $3.9K
    ——
    202¢2¢
    $4.0K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democratic by 9.0% or more
    24%
    24¢—
    2Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%
    10¢+1¢
    3Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%
    8¢-1¢
    4Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%
    8¢—
    5Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%
    7¢—
    6Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%
    7¢—
    7Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%
    6¢—
    8Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%
    6¢—
    9Republican by 9.0% or more
    5¢—
    10Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%
    5¢—
    11Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%
    4¢—
    12Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%
    4¢—
    13Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%
    4¢—
    14Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%
    3¢—
    15Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%
    3¢—
    16Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%
    3¢—
    17Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%
    3¢—
    18Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%
    3¢—
    19Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%
    3¢—
    20Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%
    2¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 7, 2028

    ~753 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    20
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $134.4K

    Whale Activity

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