2028 popular vote margin of victory?
Democratic by 9.0% or more leads by 15 pts · 7 candidates at 5%+
Democratic by 9.0% or more#1Democratic by 9.0% or more27%- Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%#2Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%12%
- Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%#3Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%8%
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- Volume
- $489.0K
- 24h
- $34
- Candidates
- 20
1 venue · 20 marketsWho’s winning
Top 5, each at its busiest venue- Democratic by 9.0% or more27%
- Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%12%
- Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%8%
- Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%8%
- Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%7%
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Signals
Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.
Every candidate, every venue
1 venueChanceBest
Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Smart money
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In the news
About this market
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Tue, November 7, 2028
Compared across 1 venue