TRADING OPEN

    2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolves Jun 30, 2027
    Total Volume

    $599.0K

    +$4.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    47

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    94¢

    Marine Le Pen

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Matthieu Pigasse

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    47 markets
    #
    194¢92¢97¢
    $35.3K
    -1¢
    3¢
    293¢93¢97¢
    $27.2K+$1.7K 24h
    -1¢
    2¢
    388¢86¢90¢
    $8.2K
    -2¢—
    485¢83¢88¢
    $22.1K
    -4¢
    2¢
    584¢87¢81¢
    $5.2K
    -1¢
    3¢ if
    683¢83¢81¢
    $27.7K+$81 24h
    -2¢—
    780¢80¢—
    $25.3K+$391 24h
    -4¢—
    8
    Éric Zemmour📈 Trending
    78¢78¢81¢
    $25.2K+$447 24h
    -4¢
    2¢
    977¢—77¢
    $0
    -4¢—
    1067¢69¢65¢
    $3.4K
    -3¢—
    1159¢59¢56¢
    $21.7K+$152 24h
    -1¢
    1¢
    1231¢31¢32¢
    $23.5K+$68 24h
    -1¢—
    1328¢31¢26¢
    $13.5K
    -1¢
    2¢
    1424¢25¢22¢
    $45.8K+$781 24h
    ——
    15
    Gabriel Attal📈 Trending
    21¢21¢24¢
    $24.0K+$464 24h
    -4¢
    1¢
    1620¢21¢20¢
    $3.9K
    -2¢—
    17
    Sarah Knafo📈 Trending
    16¢16¢—
    $39.6K+$263 24h
    -5¢—
    1815¢14¢17¢
    $16.0K
    ——
    1910¢10¢—
    $3.2K
    -1¢—
    207¢5¢9¢
    $13.5K
    -2¢
    1¢
    217¢7¢—
    $17.5K
    -10¢—
    227¢7¢—
    $2.4K
    -1¢—
    237¢8¢7¢
    $33.1K
    -2¢—
    247¢7¢—
    $9.8K
    ——
    256¢6¢—
    $3.3K
    ——
    266¢6¢—
    $11.2K
    ——
    276¢6¢—
    $3.6K
    -1¢—
    286¢6¢—
    $1.9K
    -1¢—
    296¢5¢7¢
    $11.7K
    -2¢—
    306¢4¢8¢
    $8.6K
    -2¢—
    316¢6¢—
    $12.7K
    ——
    325¢5¢—
    $3.9K
    ——
    335¢5¢6¢
    $7.5K
    -3¢—
    345¢5¢—
    $5.4K
    ——
    355¢5¢—
    $5.1K
    ——
    365¢5¢—
    $11.3K+$119 24h
    ——
    375¢4¢6¢
    $6.1K
    -2¢—
    385¢5¢—
    $4.5K
    ——
    395¢5¢—
    $4.4K
    -1¢—
    405¢5¢—
    $6.0K
    -1¢—
    414¢4¢—
    $3.4K
    ——
    424¢4¢—
    $1.2K
    ——
    434¢4¢—
    $1.4K
    ——
    444¢3¢5¢
    $2.0K
    -2¢—
    454¢4¢—
    $10.2K
    -1¢—
    463¢3¢—
    $21.6K
    ——
    473¢3¢—
    $4.6K
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Marine Le Pen
    94%
    94¢-1¢
    2Jean-Luc Mélenchon
    93%
    93¢-1¢
    3Nathalie Arthaud
    88%
    88¢-2¢
    4Édouard Philippe
    85%
    85¢-4¢
    5Fabien Roussel
    84%
    84¢-1¢
    6Raphaël Glucksmann
    83%
    83¢-2¢
    7Éric Zemmour
    78%
    78¢-4¢
    8Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
    67%
    67¢-3¢
    9Bruno Retailleau
    59%
    59¢-1¢
    10Dominique de Villepin
    31%
    31¢-1¢
    11Marine Tondelier
    28%
    28¢-1¢
    12François Hollande
    24%
    24¢—
    13Gabriel Attal
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    14François Ruffin
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    15François Asselineau
    15%
    15¢—
    16Bernard Cazeneuve
    7¢-2¢
    17Jordan Bardella
    7¢-2¢
    18Karim Bouamrane
    6¢-2¢
    19Jérôme Guedj
    6¢-2¢
    20Olivier Faure
    5¢-3¢
    21Gérald Darmanin
    5¢-2¢
    22Clémentine Autain
    4¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 30, 2027

    ~253 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    47
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $599.0K

    Whale Activity

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