2026 Nobel Physics winner?

    2026 Nobel Physics winner? Live odds across 24 markets: Alexei Kitaev at 24¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    2026 Nobel Physics winner?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $8.8K

    +$362 (24h)

    Active Markets

    24

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    24¢

    Alexei Kitaev

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Charles Kane

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    24 markets · Showing 24
    #
    124¢24¢
    $1.3K+$292 24h
    -4¢
    224¢24¢
    $2.3K
    -4¢
    317¢17¢
    $378+$69 24h
    -2¢
    415¢15¢
    $222
    -4¢
    515¢15¢
    $523
    -3¢
    614¢14¢
    $1.4K+$1 24h
    -8¢
    714¢14¢
    $576
    -4¢
    810¢10¢
    $189
    -4¢
    9
    $162
    -5¢
    10
    $131
    -4¢
    11
    $90
    -4¢
    12
    $132
    -4¢
    13
    $162
    -4¢
    14
    $97
    -4¢
    15
    $95
    -4¢
    16
    $83
    -4¢
    17
    $194
    -4¢
    18
    $95
    -4¢
    19
    $223
    -4¢
    20
    $81
    -4¢
    21
    $129
    -4¢
    22
    $95
    -4¢
    23
    $95
    -4¢
    24
    $107
    -5¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Alexei Kitaev
    24%
    24¢-4¢
    2John Preskill
    24%
    24¢-4¢
    3Yves Meyer
    17%
    17¢-2¢
    4Eugene Mele
    15%
    15¢-4¢
    5Allan MacDonald
    15%
    15¢-3¢
    6Charles Kane
    14%
    14¢-8¢
    7Peter Shor
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    8Yakir Aharonov
    10¢-4¢
    9John Pendry
    -5¢
    10Michael Berry
    -4¢
    11Pablo Jarillo-Herrero
    -4¢
    12Ewine van Dishoeck
    -4¢
    13Federico Capasso
    -4¢
    14James Eisenstein
    -4¢
    15Jainendra Jain
    -4¢
    16Sara Seager
    -4¢
    17David Charbonneau
    -4¢
    18Rafi Bistritzer
    -4¢
    19Carlos Frenk
    -4¢
    20Simon White
    -4¢
    21Marc Davis
    -4¢
    22Stéphane Mallat
    -4¢
    23Ingrid Daubechies
    -4¢
    24Moty Heiblum
    -5¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~130 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    24
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $8.8K

    Whale Activity

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