TRADING OPEN

    2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

    In 2027

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $2.2M

    +$60.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Democrats, 8 to 10%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Democrats, 0 to 2%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢30¢30¢
    $160.9K+$316 24h
    ——
    224¢24¢25¢25¢
    $160.6K+$343 24h
    ——
    319¢19¢20¢20¢
    $137.7K+$236 24h
    ——
    410¢10¢11¢11¢
    $141.9K+$255 24h
    ——
    59¢9¢11¢11¢
    $117.5K+$3.2K 24h
    ——
    65¢5¢7¢7¢
    $216.9K+$37.7K 24h
    ——
    75¢5¢6¢6¢
    $684.8K+$9.1K 24h
    ——
    84¢4¢——
    $286.3K+$8.4K 24h
    -1¢—
    93¢3¢——
    $100.8K+$499 24h
    ——
    102¢2¢——
    $153.5K+$206 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrats, 8 to 10%
    28%
    28¢—
    2Democrats, 10 to 12%
    24%
    24¢—
    3Democrats, 6 to 8%
    19%
    19¢—
    4Democrats, 12 to 14%
    10¢—
    5Democrats, 4 to 6%
    9¢—
    6Democrats, 2 to 4%
    5¢—
    7Republicans win
    5¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~28 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $2.2M

    Whale Activity

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