TRADING OPEN

    2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

    In 2027

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $2.9M

    +$49.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    Democrats, 8 to 10%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Democrats, 6 to 8%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrats, 8 to 10%📈 Trending
    26¢26¢28¢28¢
    $181.2K+$702 24h
    -1¢—
    223¢23¢23¢23¢
    $203.3K+$3.1K 24h
    +1¢—
    3
    Democrats, 6 to 8%📈 Trending
    16¢16¢19¢19¢
    $181.7K+$2.0K 24h
    -4¢—
    411¢11¢11¢11¢
    $201.6K+$24.6K 24h
    +1¢—
    5
    Democrats, 4 to 6%📈 Trending
    7¢7¢9¢9¢
    $178.9K+$7.0K 24h
    -1¢—
    65¢5¢7¢7¢
    $985.0K+$6.2K 24h
    ——
    74¢4¢6¢6¢
    $207.8K+$1.2K 24h
    ——
    84¢4¢5¢5¢
    $206.3K+$3.5K 24h
    ——
    93¢3¢5¢5¢
    $263.5K+$366 24h
    -1¢—
    102¢2¢——
    $335.6K+$658 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrats, 8 to 10%
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    2Democrats, 10 to 12%
    23%
    23¢+1¢
    3Democrats, 6 to 8%
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    4Democrats, 12 to 14%
    11¢+1¢
    5Democrats, 4 to 6%
    7¢-1¢
    6Republicans win
    5¢—
    7Democrats, 16% and above
    4¢—
    8Democrats, 14 to 16%
    4¢—
    9Democrats, 2 to 4%
    3¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~13 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $2.9M

    Whale Activity

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