TRADING OPEN
    8s

    2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)

    Resolves Feb 3, 2027
    Total Volume

    $12.7K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    95¢

    Democrats, ≥2%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +5¢

    Democrats, ≥12%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    Democrats, ≥2%
    		95¢95¢
    $2.0K
    		-1¢—
    2
    Democrats, ≥4%
    		91¢91¢
    $1.8K
    		-2¢—
    3
    Democrats, ≥6%
    		88¢88¢
    $2.4K
    		——
    4
    Democrats, ≥8%
    		75¢75¢
    $1.9K
    		+1¢—
    5
    Democrats, ≥10%
    		47¢47¢
    $3.5K
    		+2¢—
    6
    Democrats, ≥12%
    		24¢24¢
    $959
    		+5¢—
    7
    Democrats, ≥14%
    		8¢8¢
    $100
    		-3¢—
    8
    Democrats, ≥16%
    		6¢6¢
    $300
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrats, ≥2%
    95%
    95¢-1¢
    2Democrats, ≥4%
    91%
    91¢-2¢
    3Democrats, ≥6%
    88%
    88¢—
    4Democrats, ≥8%
    75%
    75¢+1¢
    5Democrats, ≥10%
    47%
    47¢+2¢
    6Democrats, ≥12%
    24%
    24¢+5¢
    7Democrats, ≥14%
    8¢-3¢
    8Democrats, ≥16%
    6¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Feb 3, 2027

    ~133 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.7K

    Whale Activity

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