Beta
    LIVE

    December 31

    Volume

    $2.9M

    $6.2K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~213 days left

    Category

    Politics

    75¢CHANCE OF YES74%26%
    Yes+1¢
    75¢
    Polymarket
    No-1¢
    26¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    75¢
    No
    26¢
    Vol
    $2.9M
    $6.2K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2763¢68¢73¢82¢

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 75¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Related Events

    K
    Before Sep 1, 2026 - 62¢

    Keir Starmer departure announced?

    Politics·3 mkts·$7.8K 24h·Resolves Sep 1, 2026
    P
    No-Confidence Vote… - 10¢

    No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

    Politics·1 mkts·$381 24h·Resolves Jun 30, 2026
    P
    December 31 - 56¢

    Netanyahu out by...?

    Politics·2 mkts·$112.1K 24h·Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    P
    December 31, 2026 - 31¢

    Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

    Politics·2 mkts·$6.2K 24h·Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left213 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Starmer out by December 31, 2026? — 70.5% Odds, Analytics ...

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Starmer out by...? - Perplexity

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Starmer's Labour Party projected to lose seats in May 7 UK elections

    1 minEstefano Gomez
    Politics

    Half of voters think Starmer will be replaced as prime minister by end of 2026, poll suggests | UK News | Sky News

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Why 2026 is Keir Starmer's make or break year - BBC News

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Half of Britons think Keir Starmer should stand down as Prime Minister | Ipsos

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    How a Year of Political Peril Could Unfold for Keir Starmer - Bloomberg

    1 minAlex Wickham
    Politics

    Why Starmer won't survive 2026 - UnHerd

    1 minAaron Bastani

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    No comments yet. Be the first to share your take!