Flávio Bolsonaro

    Volume

    $6.7M

    $32.5K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 4, 2026

    ~124 days left

    Category

    Politics

    29¢CHANCE OF YES31%69%
    Yes
    29¢
    Polymarket
    No
    66¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    29¢
    No
    71¢
    Vol
    $6.2M
    $32.2K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Yes
    33¢
    No
    68¢
    Vol
    $479.1K
    $265 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    65¢
    No
    66¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2723¢38¢53¢71¢

    About This Market

    If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KalshiKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    PredictItPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    PolymarketPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 33¢: exit costs ~1.55¢/contract
    IPredictItat 65¢: exit costs ~6.5¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 29¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 4, 2026
    Time Left124 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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