Beta
    LIVE
    🏛️

    Elon Musk

    Volume

    $28.9M

    $46.0K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028

    ~889 days left

    Category

    Politics

    0¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    0¢
    Kalshi
    No
    99¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $28.3M
    $4.0K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $661.3K
    $42.0K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:260¢2¢4¢6¢

    About This Market

    If Elon Musk wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify
    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 0¢: exit costs ~0.01¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator
    🏛️

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 7, 2028
    Time Left889 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
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    1 minCamille Mumford
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    RealClearPolitics - Election 2028 - 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination

    1 minUnknown
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    Will J.D. Vance Win the 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination?

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    GOP Vs. Dems: Party Nomination Odds for 2028 Presidential Race: March 24, 2026

    1 minJose Torres
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    Marco Rubio Surges in 2028 Republican Presidential Primary Poll - Newsweek

    1 minUnknown
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    2028 Republican Nominee Odds & Prediction Markets

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    2028 GOP primary poll has Vance, Rubio nearly tied

    1 minUnknown

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