Beta
    LIVE

    Before Jun 1, 2026

    Volume

    $3.7M

    $69.9K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jun 2, 2026

    ~1 days left

    Category

    Politics

    0¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    0¢
    Kalshi
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    KKalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $3.7M
    $69.9K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    May 26 17:57May 27 17:48May 28 17:04May 29 16:30May 31 14:10Jun 2 00:000¢2¢4¢7¢

    About This Market

    If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KalshiKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 0¢: exit costs ~0.01¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jun 2, 2026
    Time Left1 day
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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