Beta
    LIVE
    🏛️

    Eduardo Bolsonaro

    Volume

    $9.4M

    $22.9K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 4, 2026

    ~124 days left

    Category

    Politics

    0¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    0¢
    Polymarket
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $9.4M
    $22.9K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $102
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:260¢2¢5¢

    About This Market

    If Eduardo Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify
    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 0¢: exit costs ~0.02¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 0¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 4, 2026
    Time Left124 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Poll shows Lula and Bolsonaro tied before Brazil’s presidential election | Elections News | Al Jazeera

    1 minAl Jazeera Staff
    Politics

    Analysis: The White House has chosen its candidate in Brazil

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil presidential runoff poll - UPI.com

    1 minMacarena Hermosilla
    Politics

    Brazil's Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro are neck and neck in presidential runoff, poll finds - Yahoo News UK

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Flavio Bolsonaro enters Brazil's 2026 presidential race with father's ...

    1 minAllison Griner
    Politics

    Trump receives Flávio Bolsonaro in the Oval Office three weeks after Lula | International | EL PAÍS English

    1 minMacarena Vidal Liy, Naiara Galarraga Gortázar
    Politics

    Brazil election: Lula makes stunning comeback

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Bolsonaro dynasty eyes comeback as Brazil’s socialist president faces challenge from jailed rival’s son

    1 minAOL Staff

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